Interesting article published by Stephenson et al
out of the Cleveland Clinic, U Mich and Sloan-Kettering. Abstract at jco.ascopubs.org/cgi/content/abstract/JCO.2008.18.2501v1
and discussion at prostatecancerinfolink.net/2009/07/28/15-year-outcomes-after-radical-prostatectomy-a-new-predictive-model/#more-6527
Conclusions: Fifteen-year PCSM (Prostate Cancer Specific Mortality) and all-cause mortality were 12% and 38%, respectively. The estimated PCSM ranged from 5% to 38% for patients in the lowest and highest quartiles of predicted risk of PSA-defined recurrence, based on a popular nomogram (presumably the MSKCC Kattan Nomogram). Biopsy Gleason grade, PSA, and year of surgery were associated with PCSM....Neither preoperative PSA velocity nor body mass index improved the model's accuracy. Only 4% of contemporary patients had a predicted 15-year PCSM of greater than 5%.
For what it's worth. Alas, they want $22 to read the full article, so I'll have to wait until I get back to the States and can have interlibrary loan get me a copy.