Posted 10/5/2016 10:26 PM (GMT -6)
GG is in a holding pattern at 0.02 and once again, I’m noodling around on the web, absorbing as much info as I can.
Anyway… I’m just wondering why the literature and nomograms vary so wildly in their predictions, and whether anyone could shed any light for me at all?
For example, the Harvard link I’ve posted below, suggests GG has a 25% chance of being BCR free at 5 years (in table 1), whereas the Fox Chase nomograms suggest 37%, the Kattan nomograms 70%, and Sloan Kettering 63%. There are some pretty huge discrepancies there, that’s for sure.
Obviously I’d rather he was on the 70% side of the fence and not 25%, but at the end of the day, I realise everyone is very different, and these tools can never accurately predict outcomes.
Don’t get me wrong here - I’m not crystal gazing for any meaningful predictions, but rather curious about why there are such significant differences in the various forecasting tools available.
Thanks ever so - and healing wishes to all.